Solar flares release high-energy particles into space, which interact with Earth's atmosphere to create auroras. Physicist Dr. Kestutis Ikamas explains, "Solar flares occur regularly, but during the solar maximum, which peaks every 11 years, their intensity increases."
The current solar cycle's peak activity, expected to continue through 2025, raises concerns about potential impacts. While the northern lights are a beautiful outcome of solar activity, powerful storms can lead to severe disruptions. For example, a major storm in 2022 caused the loss of 40 SpaceX satellites, costing up to $100 million. The infamous 1859 Carrington Event disrupted telegraph systems worldwide. A similar event today could have far-reaching global consequences.
For instance, without power, fuel stations and heating systems would cease to function, particularly in colder regions. Water supply systems dependent on electricity could also collapse, exacerbating the crisis. Such scenarios echo the challenges faced in conflict zones where infrastructure is deliberately targeted.
Preparation for solar storms presents a challenge, as they often provide only hours to days of warning. Dr. Ikamas emphasizes the importance of detailed, actionable plans to mitigate potential damage. However, he notes that shutting down critical systems quickly can trigger cascading failures. "The complexity of power plants and communication networks means that any sudden shutdown could lead to additional complications," he states. While protective measures for satellites and power grids exist, they remain insufficient against extreme geomagnetic storms. "Investment in these defenses is limited, despite the massive potential costs of inaction," Dr. Ikamas adds.
Geomagnetic storms also affect wildlife. Birds and marine animals, which rely on Earth's magnetic field for navigation, may become disoriented. Astronauts, unprotected by Earth's magnetic field, are also at greater risk of radiation exposure. Dr. Ikamas advises individuals to disconnect electronic devices during severe storms to prevent damage but stresses that safeguarding infrastructure requires coordinated international efforts.
To address these challenges, global collaboration is essential. Dr. Ikamas concludes, "While solar storms remain low-probability events, their potential impact is too great to ignore. Strengthening our infrastructure to withstand these disruptive forces of nature is crucial."
G2 Moderate. Possible transformer damage and spacecraft orientation adjustments. Aurora visible in northern Scandinavia.
G3 Strong. Voltage corrections required for power systems. Navigation issues and telecommunications disruptions. Aurora visible in Scandinavia and potentially Lithuania.
G4 Severe. Widespread voltage control issues and radio blackouts. Aurora visible in parts of Europe.
G5 Extreme. Possible collapse of power grids and prolonged navigation outages. Aurora visible across Europe.
Related Links
Vilnius University
Solar Science News at SpaceDaily
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