Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. 24/7 Space News .




SUPERPOWERS
Outside View: The fall of our discontent
by Harlan Ullman
Washington (UPI) Sep 11, 2013


disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

On this anniversary of the attacks that leveled the Twin Towers in New York and part of the Pentagon a dozen years ago, a long, hot and wet summer in Washington risks metastasizing into a "Fall of Discontent."

Syria is the most incandescent and looming issue underscored by U.S. President Barack Obama's speech last week. But Afghanistan, Libya, Iraq and other ticking time bombs haven't been defused. And world economies remain fragile and emerging markets in flux.

Any strike against Syria has the potential to ignite broader regional conflict. Oil prices would be affected in the extreme with obvious economic consequences that will extend to China and the Pacific.

Meanwhile, Congress will have to come to grips with increasing the debt ceiling and passing a budget while debating war and peace irrespective of how it votes on using force against Syria and Bashar Assad.

None of this augurs well for a calm autumn.

Amid this cauldron overflowing with too many seemingly intractable domestic and foreign policy issues that understandably will dominate the political agenda in the United States and elsewhere, tectonic shifts that have profoundly altered the conduct and calculus of international politics have been ignored.

Trite metaphors apply -- from not seeing forests for trees or rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic.

But the United States and its friends and allies are at grave risk if these seminal transformations are long ignored.

The driving force behind these transformations is largely the wholesale diffusion of all forms of power magnified by the information revolutions in what is an interconnected and globalized world.

In one sense, this diffusion of power has lessened the relative power and influence of the United States among others. In another, this same diffusion has empowered individuals and so-called non-governmental organizations to have growing influence and authority at the expense of states and the state system that has been in place since the Treaty of Westphalia was signed in 1648.

Al-Qaida is one manifestation of this empowerment. Julian Assange and Bradley Manning of WikiLeaks note and Edward Snowden are another. The combination has had significant impact on altering and affecting international politics.

And more to the point, these tectonic changes have also replaced the traditional Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse with new and possibly more dangerous riders.

The new riders that threaten global society begin with failed and failing governments from Afghanistan to Zimbabwe with Brussels and Washington in between. Debate over Syria and what Congress decides is exacerbated by failing or dysfunctional government in which the possible choices and outcomes are not merely worst case. They are "worstest," if such a category exists.

Second are economic dislocation, despair and depravation. For example, no matter who leads Egypt, because too many of its people live on $2 a day, absent the resources, no government can solve this first order economic crisis. Europe is not out of the woods regarding its economic condition.

And in the United States, increasing divisions between rich and poor will only be exacerbated by debts and deficits that ultimately will erode standards of living for many and limit expectations that future generations will do better than their predecessors.

Third are radical ideologies that employ terror to disrupt, terrorize and serve as the weapon of choice. Religious extremism, whether in the form al-Qaida, Salafism or radical Shiite views draws strength from the first two horsemen, rekindling the 13-centurie-old struggle between Sunni and Shiite and fomenting a potential fight to the death over who controls the Sunni sect.

Fourth is climate change and global warming that irrespective of cause could be the wildest of wild cards affecting global society.

One column isn't the ideal place to provide substantive policy choices for corralling these horsemen. It is a start.

Regarding failing and failed government here, commissions usually fail. In this case however a national commission is needed to present to the country a clinical diagnosis of its political health and a range of cures including amending the U.S. Constitution by extending the terms of members of the House of Representatives to four years and mandating that all able and eligible citizens present themselves to polling stations to vote on Election Day.

The combination would surely reduce dependence on campaign financing and force candidates to focus more on governing than on winning elections.

Economic advances can be achieved through creating a national infrastructure bank as the column has repeatedly (and unsuccessfully so far) proposed and moving at best speed with the trans-Atlantic and Pacific trade and investment partnerships that will stimulate growth and possibly address climate change.

Last, it is about time that the United States developed a strategy to contain ideological extremism as was done during the Cold War.

An ambitious agenda to rein in these Four Horsemen and to prevent the fall of our discontent becoming a permanent condition is crucial and far more important than attacking Syria!

(Harlan Ullman is senior adviser at the Atlantic Council in Washington and chairman of the Killowen Group, which advises leaders of business and government.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

.


Related Links
Learn about the Superpowers of the 21st Century at SpaceWar.com
Learn about nuclear weapons doctrine and defense at SpaceWar.com






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








SUPERPOWERS
Japan on high alert for disputed islands anniversary
Tokyo (AFP) Sept 11, 2013
Japan's coastguard said it was "on high alert" Wednesday, a year to the day since Tokyo nationalised islands that China says it has owned for centuries. Often-testy ties have soured dramatically over the last 12 months, with frequent confrontations between official ships from Asia's two largest powers. On Tuesday, Tokyo said it had not ruled out stationing officials there, provoking an o ... read more


SUPERPOWERS
Scientists say water on moon may have originated on Earth

Moon landing mission to use "secret weapons"

NASA launches spacecraft to study Moon atmosphere

NASA-Funded Scientists Detect Water on Moon's Surface that Hints at Water Below

SUPERPOWERS
Terramechanics research aims to keep Mars rovers rolling

New technology could make for smarter planet rovers

India prepares to launch country's maiden mission to Mars

SwRI study suggests debris flows on frozen arctic sand dunes are similar to dark dune spot-seepage flows on Mars

SUPERPOWERS
SpaceShipTwo commercial space liner breaks sound barrier in test

Andreas Mogensen set for Soyuz mission to ISS in 2015

NASA awards nearly $1.5B in support contracts

NSBRI and NASA Reduce Space Radiation Risks by Soliciting for Center of Space Radiation Research

SUPERPOWERS
China civilian technology satellites put into use

China to launch lunar lander by end of year: media

China launches three experimental satellites

Medical quarantine over for Shenzhou-10 astronauts

SUPERPOWERS
Three astronauts back on Earth from ISS: mission control

ISS Crew Completes Spacewalk Preps

Russian cosmonaut set for space station mission resigns

Russian cosmonauts to start searching for bacterium corroding ISS body

SUPERPOWERS
Japan sets new date for satellite rocket launch

Arianespace delivers! EUTELSAT 25B/Es'hail 1 and GSAT-7 are orbited by Ariane 5

Arianespace to "reach for the stars" with its Soyuz launch of Europe's Gaia space surveyor spacecraft

Ariane 5 build-up is completed for Arianespace upcoming flight with EUTELSAT

SUPERPOWERS
Coldest Brown Dwarfs Blur Lines between Stars and Planets

NASA-funded Program Helps Amateur Astronomers Detect Alien Worlds

Observations strongly suggest distant super-Earth has water atmosphere

Waking up to a new year

SUPERPOWERS
Chinese-built Bolivian satellite tested in space simulator

Indiana Jones meets George Jetson

New computational approaches speed up the exploration of the universe

Advancing graphene for post-silicon computer logic




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement