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NUKEWARS
In Tehran, frustration overcomes hope for nuclear deal
By Cyril Julien
Tehran (AFP) July 8, 2015


Optimistic Rouhani says Iran readying for post-sanctions
Tehran (AFP) July 8, 2015 - Iranian President Hassan Rouhani expressed optimism Wednesday that a nuclear deal with world powers is imminent, saying his government is already preparing its economy for the lifting of sanctions.

"Negotiations with the P5+1 group are at a sensitive stage and the Islamic republic of Iran is preparing for (the period of) post-negotiations and post-sanctions," he said.

Rouhani made the remarks to reporters at Tehran's Mehrabad airport before flying to Russia to attend a meeting on Friday of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation.

Iran has applied to join the SOC, which groups China, Russia and the former Soviet republics of Central Asia.

Rouhani said China and Russia are likely to hold talks on the nuclear issue at the summit in Ufa, a city about 1,100 kilometres (680 miles) east of Moscow.

The two countries form part of the P5+1 along with Britain, France and the United States plus Germany.

The Iranian president is to hold talks with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on Thursday.

His assessment came as world powers readied for a late-night push to forge a deal that would curb Iran's nuclear ambitions in exchange for an easing of sanctions.

Iran and the P5+1 have effectively given themselves until Friday to reach a deal by extending a November 2013 interim accord, after missing two target dates in this round of talks now in their 12th day.

This followed what diplomats said was a stormy meeting Monday evening between US Secretary of State John Kerry and the foreign ministers of Iran and the other major powers that one senior envoy said saw a "very heated exchange of views".

Iran's Zarif urges joint action against extremism
London (AFP) July 8, 2015 - Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif on Wednesday said a nuclear deal with Western powers was "within reach" and could open the way to joint action against extremism, as talks continued in Vienna.

"Iran is ready to strike a fair and balanced deal and prepared to open new horizons to address the shared challenges of far greater magnitude," Zarif wrote in a commentary piece in the Financial Times.

"Among these shared threats is the increasingly brutal extremism that is engulfing the heart of the Middle East and even extending into Europe," he added.

Zarif referred specifically to Islamist-inspired killings in France, Kuwait and Tunisia on June 26.

He also condemned Western sanctions against his country, which are intended to thwart Iran's nuclear ambitions, which Tehran insists are peaceful, saying they were "the most indiscriminate imposed on any nation in human history".

"My counterparts have rightfully opted for the negotiating table. But they still need to make the critical choice between an agreement and coercion," said Zarif, who is taking part in the Vienna talks.

In a game of high-stakes diplomatic brinkmanship, global powers readied Wednesday for a late-night push to forge a deal to end a 13-year standoff.

Iran and six world powers on Tuesday effectively gave themselves until Friday to reach a deal by extending a November 2013 interim accord, after missing two target dates in this round of talks now in their 12th day.

Hope among Iranians for a lasting deal over their country's nuclear programme gave way to frustration Wednesday as negotiations with world powers overran yet another deadline to seal a final accord.

The deal, which has been under negotiation for over 20 months, was originally meant to be struck by July 1. But the deadline has been extended twice, and marathon discussions in Vienna are expected to drag on until at least the weekend.

The streets of Tehran were largely empty Wednesday, with most of the country commemorating the death of Imam Ali, the key figure of Iran's Shiite Muslim faith.

But many Iranians were still anxiously awaiting news from Austria.

The agreement is "important for me because I want to make investments but I'm left confused and frustrated as to what the outcome of the negotiations will be," said 24-year-old architecture graduate Parnian.

She said she was "optimistic" about a deal but added that "things will not change for better" for ordinary Iranians.

"The status quo will be preserved after a deal and the best thing that can happen is that things won't get worse," she said.

Iran and world powers -- Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia, and the United States -- have been locked in negotiations for months seeking a lasting deal on Iran's nuclear programme.

The deal would curb Tehran's atomic capability, making it virtually impossible to build a nuclear bomb, in exchange for a lifting of punishing economic sanctions imposed on the Islamic republic since 2006.

Iran denies seeking a bomb and has called for sanctions to be dropped as soon as a deal is in place.

"I remain very positive and I believe that an agreement will be reached because the government of President Hassan Rouhani resumed negotiations believing a deal was possible, and they worked really hard for it," said Mohammad, a 31-year-old computer engineer from the northeastern city of Shahrud.

- Inflation, oil price plunge -

He said he had spent the last 12 days closely monitoring progress out of Vienna on television and social media.

"It's important to get it done as soon as possible, because the longer it takes, the more money and opportunities we lose" to boost the economy, Mohammad said.

If a deal is signed and sanctions are lifted, "the situation will improve, wages will increase and there will be more jobs," he predicted.

Middle class and poor Iranians have seen their purchasing power plummet since 2012, with inflation above 40 percent and a currency that had already lost two-thirds of its value before Rouhani took office.

The moderate leader managed to curb inflation to around 15 percent while under sanctions, but another challenge emerged last year as oil prices almost halved, as did state oil revenue.

The government has also reduced direct subsidies introduced by former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad originally meant to mitigate price increases.

"In 2005, I earned two million rials a month and I could spend and save," recalls Mohammad. "Today, I earn between 15 to 20 million but my cheque barely gets me to the end of the month."

- 'There is hope' -

Since 2013, an interim accord that froze parts of Iran's nuclear programme in return for minor sanctions respite has been renewed twice already, and a "framework agreement" for a final text was reached in Lausanne in April.

The Vienna talks are supposed to be the last, but the going has been "very tough" as both sides edge closer to a lasting pact, according to one Western diplomat.

For Iranian journalist Emad Abshenass, "it is frustrating because the talks are taking so long. But as long as the talks are going on there is hope that they finally reach a deal, or even an agreement.

"Both sides are trying not to leave anything behind," he said.

Given the statements made by both sides ahead of the Vienna talks, Abshenass said "everyone" thought negotiations would go past the initial June 30 deadline.

"And even if the talks were to extend beyond July 10, they will find a way to solve the differences," he added.


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NUKEWARS
'Very, very, very tough' Iran talks extended
Vienna (AFP) July 7, 2015
Global powers wrestling for a historic nuclear deal with Iran gave themselves yet more time Tuesday after foreign ministers failed to bridge what one diplomat called "very, very, very tough" remaining issues. Iran and the P5+1 group - the United States, Russia, China, France, Britain and Germany - effectively gave themselves until Friday to agree a deal by extending the terms of a 2013 int ... read more


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