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NUKEWARS
US urges China to help rein in N. Korea
by Staff Writers
Manas, Kyrgyzstan (AFP) April 12, 2013


China 'frustrated' with ally North Korea: US spy chief
Washington (AFP) April 11, 2013 - China appears "frustrated" with volatile rhetoric from its ally North Korea but is eager to see the regime stay in power as a "buffer state" on its border, US spy chief James Clapper said Thursday.

The national intelligence director told lawmakers that North Korea's young leader Kim Jong-Un, who has threatened nuclear war with the United States, was testing China's patience.

"China is under new leadership and the indication we have is that China is rather frustrated with the behavior and belligerent rhetoric of Kim Jong-Un," Clapper said at a House of Representatives Intelligence Committee hearing.

Nor is it clear if the new leader will follow in the steps of his father and predecessor in his approach to Beijing, which holds crucial economic leverage over its neighbor, the intelligence director said.

"Unlike his father, I think he's underestimating Chinese frustration with him and their discomfiture with his behavior," Clapper added.

The congressional panel underscored that Kim remains an enigma even to the world's most powerful intelligence apparatus, with top officials voicing concern the North Korean leader might be more unpredictable than his father.

"There's no telling how he's going to behave because he's impetuous," Clapper said, and is apparently "not as inhibited as his father became about taking aggressive action," he said.

"A pattern with his father was to be provocative and then sort of back-off. We haven't seen that yet with Kim Jong-Un."

Clapper suggested Kim was shaped by the North's hardline military and security services before he assumed power but that the young man's uncle and aunt likely had a moderating influence on him. He also said Kim's choice for economics minister indicated he may recognize his country's disastrous financial position.

Despite the recent spike in tensions on the Korean peninsula, Clapper said he experienced a more dangerous atmosphere in 1968, when an American naval ship, the USS Pueblo, was captured by the North Koreans, and in 1976, when two US soldiers were killed in the demilitarized zone.

"His primary objective is to consolidate and affirm his power," Clapper, who previously worked in military intelligence posts in South Korea, said of Kim's stream of dire threats against the United States and its allies in the region.

"I don't think he has much of an endgame other than to somehow elicit recognition from the world, and specifically and most importantly the United States, of North Korea's arrival on the international scene as a nuclear power," he said.

"And that that entitles him to negotiation and accommodation."

China held the key as the only outside power with major leverage over the impoverished North, which depends on its neighbor for 65 percent of its imports, Clapper said.

"There are vulnerabilities there that if the Chinese wanted to exert leverage, they certainly could."

But he said Beijing faces "a dilemma" in that North Korea remains an important bulwark for China and its leaders do not want to take any step that could help trigger a collapse of the Pyongyang regime.

The worst case scenario for Beijing would be an upheaval that would "facilitate the unification of Korea," effectively putting a staunch US ally on China's doorstep.

"Geopolitically, China is very sensitive about having that buffer state in North Korea," he said.

Top US officials urged China Friday to use all its leverage to stop North Korea's "destabilising" actions on the Korean peninsula, saying it was in regional and global interests.

"China has a huge stake in stability, and the continued North Korean pursuit of a nuclear armed missile capability is the enemy of stability," a senior US administration official told reporters travelling on board Secretary of State John Kerry's plane to Seoul.

"That gives us and the Chinese a very powerful objective in common in denuclearisation," he said, adding the US wanted Beijing to evoke "a new sense of urgency" in its conversations with Pyongyang about its nuclear programme.

Kerry's first trip to Asia since becoming the US top diplomat has been overshadowed by weeks of tension on the Korean peninsula, following a series of threats and bellicose rhetoric from North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un.

President Barack Obama Thursday called on North Korea to end its "belligerent approach" as the world waited for Pyongyang to carry out an expected missile launch.

"It seems quite clear that they are preparing for at least another missile test," a senior State Department official said, also asking not to be identified. If the test happened while Kerry was in the region, the US "would have no option but to condemn it".

Kerry's trip, which will also take him to Beijing and Tokyo, will be "very important.. to show our allies.. that we are prepared. And that alliance matters, that we will defend them," he said.

The United States has already bolstered its missile defences in the region to help protect South Korea and Japan as well as US bases in Guam, while US and South Korean forces have been placed on alert.

Kerry will be briefed first-hand by top US military officials on the tensions when he arrives in Seoul later Friday, after a refuelling stop in Kyrgyzstan.

He will then meet with new South Korean President Park Geun-Hye and Foreign Minister Yun Byung-Se.

But the focus is heavily on China, North Korea's closest ally, which for years has helped finance the isolated Marxist hermit state.

US officials said that since Pyongyang's latest sabre-rattling began earlier this year they have noticed a change from the Chinese leadership.

"We all hear a growing tone of frustration and urgency in the official statements from the Chinese," the first senior administration official said.

"China is increasingly concerned about the downstream effects of North Korea's reckless pursuit of a nuclear missile capability, and the implications for China's own strategic environment.

"In a Marxist system like North Korea, particularly one that is so heavily dependent on China for resources, for access to the international system, those signals carry a great deal of weight."

The officials suggested China was already moving to protect its interests despite "a long tradition of turning a blind eye to efforts by its companies to do business with North Korea."

Kerry will meet with Chinese leaders including Foreign Minister Wang Yi in Beijing on Saturday seeking "to define the areas of common interest between the US and China. We have a common interest in putting an end to North Korean proliferation", the senior administration official said.

Washington "would hope that China would do a lot of things to restrain the flow of energy and food to North Korea... hold back on new investment," said expert Douglas Paal from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

And as all sides seek to stop the situation from spiralling out of control, experts also say it might be time to revisit the 1953 armistice which ended the Korean War with a ceasefire pact, rather than a full peace treaty.

Carnegie expert James Schoff called the armistice "tattered and frayed on the edges". Much could be done to "update the armistice" and help "reduce tension or the potential for conflict or accidental conflict on the DMZ", he said.

Kerry's final stop will be in Japan for talks on Sunday and Monday, before flying back to Washington.

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NUKEWARS
N. Korea border crossing shut to tourists: China official
Dandong, China (AFP) April 10, 2013
The biggest border crossing between North Korea and China has been closed to tourist groups, a Chinese official said Wednesday as nuclear tensions mounted, but business travel was still allowed. "Travel agencies are not allowed to take tourist groups to go there, since the North Korean government is now asking foreign people to leave," the official at the Dandong Border Office told AFP. ... read more


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