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NUKEWARS
New intelligence boosts US confidence over Iran
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) April 7, 2012


Pro-peace rallies back Gunter Grass Israel-Iran poem
Berlin (AFP) April 7, 2012 - Traditional Easter rallies for peace across Germany on Saturday backed Nobel literature laureate Gunter Grass's poem in which he accused Iran's nemesis Israel of plotting its annihilation.

"Gunter Grass is right", and "Thank you, Gunter Grass" read banners in the northern city of Bremerhaven, the venue of one of about 70 demonstrations organised.

Speeches in support of Grass were also given in the southwestern city of Stuttgart, where 1,000 people rallied, Willi van Ooyen, spokesman for the organisers, told AFP.

Demonstrations, marches and religious services also called for German troops to be withdrawn from armed conflicts to which they have been deployed, such as Afghanistan.

In Berlin, 1,000 people rallied, about 400 in Munich in the south and 100 in Leipzig in the east, organisers said.

Van Ooyen said, "Threats and war preparations poison the political climate". He branded preventative strikes such as those Israel might carry out to wipe out Iran's nuclear programme "crimes".

Grass, a 84-year-old long-time leftist activist, accused Israel in his poem published Wednesday of threatening world peace.

Iran has lauded Grass's poem "literary work of human and historical responsibility", while Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called it "shameful".

In an interview with Munich daily Sueddeutsche Zeitung which published the poem Grass hit back at "hordes of journalists" who would allegedly rein in his freedom of expression.

"I hope that with time passing the debate will become more rational," he told the paper.

But Grass admitted that if he had to rewrite the poem he would "avoid the generic term 'Israel' and show more clearly that this is above all about Netanyahu's current government".

Easter marches have been organised in what was then West Germany since 1960 and generally target armed conflicts and nuclear power and the threat it represents for humanity.

Germany decided last year to definitively abandon nuclear power by 2022.

A stealth surveillance drone operated by the CIA penetrated deep inside Iran over three years ago, snapped images of Iran's secret nuclear facility at Qum and returned home, The Washington Post reported late Saturday.

The newspaper said that during that flight, analysts at the Central Intelligence Agency and other agencies watched carefully for any sign that the aircraft, called the RQ-170 Sentinel, had been detected by Tehran's air defenses on its maiden voyage.

"There was never even a ripple," the paper quotes an unnamed former senior US intelligence official as saying.

CIA stealth drones scoured dozens of sites throughout Iran, making hundreds of passes over suspicious facilities, before a version of the RQ-170 crashed inside Iran's borders in December, the report said.

The surveillance has been part of an intelligence surge that is aimed at Iran's nuclear program and that has been gaining momentum since the final years of George W. Bush's administration, The Post noted.

The effort has included eavesdropping by the National Security Agency, the formation of an Iran task force among satellite-imagery analysts, as well as an expanded network of spies, the paper added.

The expanded intelligence collection has reinforced the view within the White House that it will have early warning of any move by Iran to assemble a nuclear bomb, the report said.

"There is confidence that we would see activity indicating that a decision had been made," The Post quoted a senior US official as saying. "Across the board, our access has been significantly improved."

According to the paper, the expanded intelligence effort has coincided with a covert campaign by the CIA and other agencies to sabotage Iran's nuclear program.

The administration of President Barack Obama has cited new intelligence reports in arguing against a preemptive military strike by Israel against Iranian nuclear facilities.

US, Europe to demand closure of Iranian facility: report
Washington (AFP) April 7, 2012 - The United States and its European allies plan to demand the immediate closing by Iran and ultimate dismantling of a recently completed underground nuclear facility near the city of Qum, The New York Times reported late Saturday.

Citing unnamed US and European diplomats, the newspaper said the allies will also call at the upcoming negotiations for a halt in the production of uranium fuel that is considered just a few steps from bomb grade, and the shipment of existing stockpiles of that fuel out of the country.

Iran last held talks with the six powers -- Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and the United States -- in January 2011 with no results.

US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had said the new talks would open April 13 in Istanbul. But Iran later said that Turkey was not an acceptable host after the NATO member cut oil imports from Tehran in response to US pressure.

The new demands will be the opening move in what President Barack Obama has called Iran's "last chance" to resolve its nuclear confrontation with the United Nations and the West diplomatically, the report said.

The hard-line approach would require the country's military leadership to give up the Fordo enrichment plant outside Qum, and with it a huge investment in the one facility that is most hardened against air-strikes, the paper pointed out.

While it is unclear whether the allies would accept anything less than closing and disassembling Fordo, government and outside experts say the terms may be especially difficult for Iran's leaders to accept when they need to appear strong in the face of political infighting, The Times noted.

However, Obama and his allies believe that crushing sanctions and the threat of Israeli military action will bolster the arguments of those Iranians who say a negotiated settlement is far preferable to isolation and sanctions, the paper said.

The UN Security Council has imposed four sets of sanctions on Iran because of suspicions over its nuclear program, which the West and Israel believe includes a drive to develop atomic weapons capability.

Other experts fear the tough conditions being set could instead swing the debate in favor of Iran's hard-liners, according to The Times.

"We have no idea how the Iranians will react," the paper quoted one senior administration official as saying. "We probably won't know after the first meeting."

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