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AEROSPACE
MH370 puzzle seen leading to out-of-court settlements
by Staff Writers
Kuala Lumpur (AFP) May 11, 2014


Sub set to relaunch underwater quest for MH370
Perth, Australia (AFP) May 10, 2014 - A mini-sub hunting for missing Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 will be back in the search zone within days, an official said Saturday, as the Australian ship carrying the device prepared to leave on the mission.

Australian vessel Ocean Shield is carrying the US Navy Bluefin-21 mini-sub which had been scouring the seabed for the plane which disappeared on March 8 carrying 239 people until it docked to resupply early this week.

Ocean Shield was due to head back Saturday to the remote area of the Indian Ocean where transmissions believed to have come from the plane's black box recorders were heard last month, a journey expected to take three days.

Once in the area, Ocean Shield will be able to deploy the Bluefin-21 to look for "any non-normal items, any metallic items", US Navy Captain Mark Matthews told the Australian Broadcasting Corporation.

"They'll either find something or they won't, that's about all I can box in, but what you do is you go look at your best indications and you pursue them until they're exhausted," he said.

Matthews said it was impossible to know for sure whether the signals picked up were from the plane's black box.

"It is certainly a man-made signal, but what it's from, I can't look at it and positively say, 'Hey that's an underwater locator beacon'," he said.

Extensive air and sea searches over vast stretches of the Indian Ocean have failed to find any sign of MH370 which mysteriously diverted from its Kuala Lumpur to Beijing route and is thought to have crashed far off Australia's west coast.

Australia, which is leading the search, has stressed that it believes it is looking in the right area based on satellite communications from the plane.

Officials have scaled back the air and sea searches, and have said that an intensified undersea mission will begin once new, more sophisticated equipment can be obtained to search at depths of more than 4,500 metres (15,000 feet).

The ocean bed in the prospective search zone is several kilometres deep and largely unmapped, meaning specialist sonar equipment and other autonomous vehicles are needed.

Until these can be deployed, the Bluefin-21 will continue the search while oceanographic work will also be done.

Meanwhile international experts are re-examining satellite imagery and all the data collated so far to try to pinpoint a more precise location for the search.

The lack of any evidence indicating what caused flight MH370's disappearance raises a legal conundrum that is expected to force Malaysia Airlines into out-of-court settlements with angry next-of-kin, aviation law experts said.

More than two months since MH370 disappeared, no wreckage has been found to even confirm a crash, let alone apportion blame.

But relatives of the 239 people on board can still come after Malaysia Airlines because under international aviation law it is an airline's responsibility to prove it was not to blame for an accident.

"On the surface, (Malaysia Airlines) is responsible," said Jeremy Joseph, a Malaysian attorney specialising in transport law.

The "burden of proof" rests on the national carrier to clear its name, he added.

Under International Civil Aviation Organisation rules, next-of-kin in an air crash are entitled to an automatic minimum of about $175,000 per passenger, regardless of fault, payable by an airline's insurance company.

- Vulnerable to civil suits -

But Malaysia Airlines is also vulnerable to civil lawsuits for potentially greater damages by hundreds of relatives already infuriated over the lack of information on the case.

The Beijing-bound plane disappeared March 8 and is believed to have crashed in the Indian Ocean. Theories on what happened include a terror act, rogue pilot action, or mechanical problems.

No significant legal moves have yet been made as families closely monitor an immensely difficult search in vast ocean depths that has so far found nothing.

"When there is no cause identified, it is hard to see how the airline has or has not shown the absence of fault," said Alan Tan, a professor of aviation law at the National University of Singapore.

The size of any damages would depend on where lawsuits are filed.

Next-of-kin can file in the country where an airline is based, where tickets were purchased, where the passengers were headed or where they lived.

Since most passengers were from China or Malaysia, most cases could be filed in the two countries, where courts are more conservative in awarding damages than in countries like the United States.

Damages are typically based on the lost lifetime earnings of a victim and thus could total in the hundreds of millions for all passengers combined.

"In the US, settlements usually are in the $1 million-$3 million range. For Malaysians or Chinese, salaries are lower, and hence, recoveries will be lower," said Paul Stephen Dempsey, director of the Institute of Air and Space Law at Canada's McGill University.

A US law firm is already planning a "multi-million-dollar" lawsuit against Malaysia Airlines and aircraft maker Boeing, on behalf of an Indonesian passenger's family.

- Few court cases expected -

But legal experts said few cases will likely end up in court. They expect undisclosed out-of-court settlements between families and Malaysia Airlines and its lead insurer, German giant Allianz.

This would allow the loss-making carrier -- which was struggling amid intense competition even before MH370 disappeared -- to quietly lay the matter to rest and focus on rebuilding its image.

"Because of its unprecedented nature, the courts are going to look at (MH370) very carefully. That is something the airline will try to avoid unless settlement expectations from the victims families are perceived by Malaysia Airlines as unreasonable," said Malaysian attorney Joseph.

Adds Tan: "This avoids court uncertainties and protracted litigation, and most claims will end up being negotiated and settled this way, particularly those outside the US."

In the case of Air France flight 447, which crashed in the Atlantic with 228 people aboard in June 2009, the airline's insurers made compensation payments to relatives.

Only a small number of lawsuits were filed, with a Brazilian court awarding one family an equivalent of more than half a million US dollars, before its flight data recorders were recovered in 2011.

A combination of mechanical failure and pilot error were eventually blamed.

Allianz would bear the brunt of any payouts for MH370, sparing the already financially struggling airline.

Malaysia Airlines told AFP its insurance coverage is adequate for all eventualities, declining to give details. But experts said the carrier will likely face higher future premiums.

Courts are considered unlikely to apportion any blame to Boeing, engine manufacturer Rolls Royce, or other parties without evidence implicating them.

Alleging incompetence and secrecy by Malaysia's government and the airline, about 300 next-of-kin already have banded together to press for answers.

Malaysia Airlines has begun making some payouts to families under an "advance compensation process" but has declined to reveal details.

Lawsuits must be filed within two years of an accident. Families are holding off for now as they await news on the search, seeking confirmation of a crash, and emotional closure.

"If today someone cut off your limb, can you buy your limb back?" Yik-Kiong Hue, an MH370 next-of-kin, said in an email to AFP.

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