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NUKEWARS
Commentary: Hawks on the war path
by Arnaud De Borchgrave
Washington (UPI) Feb 8, 2009


Key powers push for tougher sanctions against Iran
Paris (AFP) Feb 8, 2010 - The United States and France said Monday they would push for new UN sanctions against Iran over its nuclear programme after Tehran announced it was going to enrich uranium to a higher level. Western powers condemned Iran's move, which Germany said showed it was not cooperating with the international community which wants the fuel upgraded abroad. A top Russian lawmaker called it "a sure step backward" and suggested new sanctions should be discussed -- a step Moscow has previously opposed. Nevertheless, French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner appeared downbeat on the chances of a swift UN resolution, saying it would be difficult persuading China to sign up.

Iran's move raises the stakes in its lengthy dispute with the West, less than one week after it signalled support for a UN-drafted deal on supplies of fuel for a research nuclear reactor. Western countries fear its nuclear programme masks plans to build an atomic bomb, a charge rejected by Tehran which insists its activities are strictly for energy purposes. French Defence Minister Herve Morin, speaking in Paris after talks with US Defence Secretary Robert Gates, said: "We have no choice but to work on other measures." Morin, whose country holds the rotating chair on the UN Security Council, added: "It will unfortunately be necessary to launch a dialogue with the international community that will lead to new sanctions if Iran does not stop its programmes."

Gates said the point was to bring Iran back to the negotiating table. "We have to face the reality that if Iran continues and develops nuclear weapons, it almost certainly will provoke nuclear proliferation in the Middle East. This is a huge danger," he added. Iran on Monday officially informed the UN International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) that it planned to start enriching uranium to 20 percent on its own from Tuesday. The UN deal in contrast envisaged 3.5 percent uranium being sent to Russia and France for enrichment to 20 percent and then returned as fuel to Iran. A nuclear weapon would require enrichment to 90 percent. Work on a draft resolution has begun at UN headquarters in New York, with the Americans and Europeans presenting a list of sanctions that could target energy products, Kouchner told reporters.

But he warned that support for a new sanctions resolution might not win the nine votes needed in the 15-member Council. "We haven't yet convinced the Chinese," he said. "Will our Chinese friends put up a major obstacle?" Russia's foreign ministry said Iran must send its uranium abroad as a way out of the impasse, Interfax news agency reported. Though Moscow backs Tehran's right to nuclear technology to generate power and is helping construct its first atomic power station, the Kremlin has also signalled it may support tough new sanctions. "The international community should... send Tehran a new message about its intention to react with serious measures -- to the point of tougher economic sanctions," said Konstantin Kosachev, who heads the foreign affairs committee in the Russian parliament.

"Clueless in Washington" was how The Economist, a British weekly read by movers and shakers the world over, headlined America's crisis in governance. Neither the president nor Congress shows any sign of knowing how to tackle the budget deficit.

A $1.6 trillion deficit for the current fiscal year to be followed by $1.35 trillion for the 2011 budget and an authorized increase of almost $2 trillion in the national debt to $14.3 trillion is a road map for a fiscal catastrophe. The last half-trillion-dollar spending bill signed by Obama included more than 5,000 earmarks worth some $7 billion -- pork funds forced upon the executive by legislators in return for their votes.

Deficits between now and 2020 are forecast to add up to $30 trillion. The total amount of U.S. dollars in circulation worldwide (known by the Fed as M3) is $14.3 trillion. Some financial and economic experts believe the Obama administration's remedial measures thus far are tantamount to slightly rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. In his new book "Freefall," Joe Stiglitz, a member of President Clinton's Council of Economic Advisers, says, "In the Frankenstein laboratories of Wall Street, banks created new risk products without mechanisms to manage the monster they had created," while innovation simply meant "circumventing regulations, accounting standards and taxation."

Kevin Phillips, whose latest book -- "Bad Money: Reckless Finance, Failed Politics, and the Global Crisis of American Capitalism" -- is an equally devastating indictment, writes, "The financial industry will most likely block any far-reaching overhaul, even though it will not be able to put its own broken Humpty Dumpty back up on the wall. That bleak conclusion may not be too far from what Joe Stiglitz himself thinks."

Obama is floundering as he tries to reset his presidency on economics. Defense is sacrosanct. Either taxes go up or entitlements go down, or both. On Capitol Hill, it's still burned toast for the president.

For centuries, leaders faced with insuperable domestic problems found escape in foreign distractions. In some cases, the distractions occurred suddenly and fortuitously, such as World War II, which started in Europe and pulled America out of the Great Depression.

Obama isn't looking for such a distraction, but others have no pangs illuminating what they think is the way out of the "clueless in Washington" dilemma. Right-wing scholar-activist Daniel Pipes, a neocon icon, could not be more blunt: Obama can "save" his presidency by bombing Iran. The fact that this could also cost him the presidency is not deemed worthy of discussion.

Pipes was in good company. Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair now says the world may have to take on Iran as the mullahcracy and its Revolutionary Guards are more of a threat today than Iraq was when U.S. and British troops invaded in 2003. Blair, addressing a joint session of Congress, gave President Bush a powerful oratorical assist on the historical need to destroy Saddam Hussein's regime and its nuclear and chemical weapons. There was also much disinformation about an alleged alliance between Saddam and Osama bin Laden. At one stage, 60 percent of the American people believed the canard Saddam was behind the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks that killed 3,000 Americans.

While under questioning by a British panel investigating his decision to join the U.S.-led war against Iraq, Blair kept coming back to Iran -- no less than 58 times. If Saddam hadn't been eliminated, Blair said, today Iraq and Iran would be competing in supplying weapons of mass destruction to terrorist groups.

Pipes, a powerful voice in Israel's corner, says Obama "needs a dramatic gesture to change the public perception of him … preferably in an arena where the stakes are high, where he can take charge, and where he can trump expectations." Such an opportunity now exists, to wit: "Obama can give orders for the U.S. military to destroy Iran's nuclear weapons capacity. It would have the advantage of sidelining healthcare, push Republicans to work with Democrats, make Tea Party-ers jump for joy, conservatives and neoconservatives would swoon ecstatically."

In 2003 President George W. Bush appointed Pipes to the board of the U.S. Institute of Peace. Today he is part of a powerful lobby in Washington that pooh-poohs the repercussions predicted by the Iran war naysayers, a group that includes three former U.S. CENTCOM commanders. Gen. Anthony Zinni, one of the three, says, "If you like Iraq and Afghanistan, you'll love Iran." They can see how one bomb on Iran would trigger the theocracy's impressive asymmetrical retaliatory capabilities up and down the entire Persian Gulf -- and beyond.

To reinforce the war party's arguments, Pipes also says, "the apocalyptic-minded leaders in Tehran" could eventually "launch an electro-magnetic pulse attack on the U.S., utterly devastating the country." His detractors dismiss EMP alarmism as flimflam. But they are wrong. EMP is a very real concern of those who ponder future asymmetrical threats.

In his latest book "One Second After," New York Times best-selling author William R. Forstchen looks at EMPs "and their awesome ability to send catastrophic shockwaves throughout the U.S. within seconds." One Scud-type nuclear missile, fired from the cargo hold of a freighter off the East Coast, set to explode 75 miles up, could fry everything electrical in one-third of the United States, from every cellphone and computer to aircraft, trains, vehicles, elevators, and the entire government, including the Pentagon.

Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak disappointed the war hawks by saying the inability to negotiate a peace deal with the Palestinians is a greater threat to the Jewish state than a nuclear Iran. National security adviser Gen. James L. Jones added Israel is acting "responsibly" on Iran and "we're working very closely with them."

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad suddenly cooed too, offering the West its low-enriched (3.5 percent) uranium, then taking it back once enriched at 20 percent. Within 48 hours Iran's chief obfuscator was barking again, announcing the production of highly enriched uranium at 20 percent and the building of 10 new enrichment sites in 2010. Weaponization requires 90 percent. U.S. Defense Secretary Bob Gates said he is now certain Iran is going for the bomb and it's time for tough new sanctions. But Russia and China are not aboard.

Gates in Paris as West faces Iranian nuclear defiance
Paris (AFP) Feb 8, 2010 - France's President Nicolas Sarkozy was to meet US Secretary of Defence Robert Gates in Paris on Monday as the western allies sought a tough response to Iran's latest nuclear provocation. Washington is also pushing Paris to boost its troop numbers in Afghanistan, but Gates' agenda is expected to be dominated by the international community's stand-off with Tehran over its plan to produce enriched nuclear fuel. The US secretary was due to arrive in Paris from Rome just as Iran formally announces to the United Nations' atomic watchdog that it plans to enrich its own uranium stocks to a level suitable for use in a medical reactor. France and the United States believe Tehran plans to increase its refining capability until it is ready to produce the kind of highly enriched uranium that it would need to build an atomic weapon.

Both allies -- members of the six-strong international contact group set up to deal with Iran -- have been pushing for stronger international sanctions, aiming to force President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to back down. On Sunday, following Ahmadinejad's announcement that Iran is ready to begin enriching its uranium stockpile to 20 percent strength this week, Gates called for mounting international pressure on Iran. "The international community has offered the Iranian government multiple opportunities to provide reassurance of its intentions. The results have been very disappointing," Gates said in Rome. This month France holds the rotating presidency of the United Nations Security Council, and Washington hopes to see Paris use this position to introduce a strong motion calling for action against Tehran.

But the allies fear that fellow veto-wielding permanent council member China could torpedo tougher action, especially as Beijing was angered last week by Washington's decision to sell military equipment to Taiwan. "France has been taking a very tough stance on Iran," a senior US official in Gates' party told AFP. "We want to take up the resolution while the French are chairing the UN Security Council. "We have a bit of friction with China because of Taiwan. We have to mobilise our friends." Gates is to meet French Defence Minister Herve Morin before his talks with Sarkozy later Monday, and is also expected to see Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner before flying home on Tuesday.

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Defiant Ahmadinejad orders higher enrichment of uranium
Tehran (AFP) Feb 7, 2010
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on Sunday ordered Iran's atomic chief to begin higher uranium enrichment, raising the stakes in a dispute with the West days after seeming to accept a UN-drafted nuclear deal. Ahmadinejad's declaration drew immediate fire from Britain, which said it was "clearly a matter of serious concern," while US Defence Secretary Robert Gates called for mounting "internatio ... read more


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