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China grabs limelight from wounded US at Asia-Pacific summit
by Staff Writers
Nusa Dua, Indonesia (AFP) Oct 07, 2013


China must 'play by the rules', Philippines must arm: US experts
Manila (AFP) Oct 04, 2013 - China has to learn to "play by the rules" and the Philippines must sharply boost its defences to keep South China Sea territorial spats from escalating, two former US officials said Friday.

The Philippines has consistently accused China of aggressively pressing its claim to most of the South China Sea, even up to the coasts of neighbours like the Philippines, raising tensions in the Asia-Pacific region.

Speaking at the sidelines of a maritime security forum in Manila, ex-US defence undersecretary Walter Slocombe stressed that no one wanted to see a confrontation with China over territory.

"We (military allies the Philippines and the United States) must find a way to defend our interests and our sovereignty, the rule of law and the proposition that issues like this are to be resolved peacefully and not by the threat of the use of force."

He warned: "There is a real danger of an incident blowing up and becoming a source of a much bigger conflict."

Dennis Blair, former commander of US forces in the Pacific, added: "We have to convince China that as it involves the rest of the region and the world in solving its problems, it has to play by the rules whether those rules are in business, diplomacy or in military force."

Both men said they could not fully explain why China was now pressing its territorial claims.

It could be a case of leaders manipulating nationalism, a mistaken assumption that the United States was withdrawing from Asia, or even the belief of some important Chinese figures that "China should run the world", Slocombe said.

China's restiveness had produced negative reactions, said Slocombe, who was in the Pentagon when Bill Clinton was US president. "In a very short time, China has made the US very popular in the Western Pacific."

But while the Philippines is relying on the United States to back it up against China, Slocombe said it must also undertake a serious effort to develop "a minimum deterrent military capacity".

"The Philippines needs to do a strategic analysis of what it needs to do for its maritime defence," added Blair, the US Pacific commander in 1999-2002.

This would include a multi-year programme to acquire modern weapons, properly train its personnel and develop military doctrines and mechanisms, and "organise itself in a more effective manner".

Such a programme for the poorly-armed Philippines "will not only support its relations with China but will find a much more willing and able and ready partner from its treaty ally, the United States", he added.

China took centre-stage at an Asia-Pacific summit on Monday, adopting a leadership role on the strength of its new-found economic might as the United States struggles to overcome its budget paralysis.

The US federal shutdown has stopped US President Barack Obama from attending the two-day Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit on the Indonesian island of Bali, and another meeting this week of East Asian leaders in Brunei.

US Secretary of State John Kerry stressed Obama's determination to remain engaged with the Pacific Rim region. But his absence left the arena clear for the leader of one-party China to trumpet the mounting heft of the world's second largest economy.

"China will firmly uphold regional peace and stability and help cement a foundation for a win-win situation in the Asia-Pacific," President Xi Jinping told an APEC business forum, as he emphasised his country was the biggest trading partner and export market for many nations in the region.

Prior to a gala dinner, at which Indonesia resurrected an APEC tradition of dressing up the leaders in artisan designs, Xi also sought in his speech to adopt a healing and united tone.

"China cannot develop in isolation of the Asia-Pacific and the Asia-Pacific cannot prosper without China," he said, stressing that his country's recent economic slowdown was the intended result of policies designed to put growth on a more sustainable path.

"We the Chinese often say a family in harmony prospers. As a member of the Asia-Pacific family, China is ready to live in amity with other family members and help each other."

The communist leader has been touring Southeast Asia, where there is much disquiet about China's territorial ambitions, and also touted the benefits of free trade pacts after securing commercial deals worth tens of billions of dollars in Indonesia and Malaysia.

China is involved in talks on a trade agreement grouping 16 East Asian nations just as Washington's rival "Trans-Pacific Partnership" (TPP) of 12 countries appears to be running into trouble.

While sympathetic to Obama's political plight, the leaders of US allies in APEC such as Singapore expressed disappointment that he had been unable to throw his presidential weight personally behind the TPP and Washington's stop-start "pivot" towards Asia.

Foreign friends and rivals alike, as well as financial markets, are worried by a threat bigger even than the shutdown: the possibility that the US government might default on its colossal debts unless Congress raises the federal borrowing limit by October 17.

An unprecedented default by the holder of the world's reserve currency would affect "the entire planet, and not just those countries with a strong geographical and economic linkage to the US", Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto said in Bali.

'Race to the top'

But Kerry, taking Obama's place at APEC, said the president's epic tussle with the Republicans was merely "a moment in politics" that did not deflect the United States from its strategic goals.

"I want to emphasise that there is nothing that will shake the commitment of the rebalance to Asia that President Obama is leading," Kerry told the business forum.

The United States is stumbling politically at a moment when, according to a statement by APEC foreign and trade ministers, the world economy can ill afford more instability following the 2008 financial crisis.

Previewing Tuesday's final summit declaration in Bali, the ministers said that "global growth is too weak, risks remain tilted to the downside, and the economic outlook suggests growth is likely to be slower and less balanced than desired".

Before he called off his foreign travel, Obama had intended to preside over a top-level round of talks among the TPP countries in Bali on Tuesday.

But doubts about the pact are gathering pace, and also about Obama's vaunted "pivot".

Attending APEC "would have been a golden opportunity for America and President Obama himself to show leadership in that context of the new emphasis towards Asia", Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak said.

Obama was also forced to cancel visits to Malaysia and the Philippines due to the shutdown.

Najib sees the end-of-year deadline for the TPP as "very tight" given mounting discord over issues such as market access and protection of intellectual property.

But Kerry said a deal was still achievable in the timeframe, as he sought to sell the merits of the pact.

"At a time when all of us seek strong and sustainable growth, TPP is creating a race to the top, not to the bottom. It is reaching for the highest standards of all," he said in his speech.

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