Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. 24/7 Space News .




NUKEWARS
After Iran-U.S. deal, a changing of the Guards?
by Staff Writers
Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UPI) Nov 25, 2013


One of the big questions raised by the ground-breaking rapprochement between Iran and the West, and the diplomatic triumph of Iran's new reformist president, is how the Revolutionary guards, the country's elite military force, will take to the move away from decades of ideological hostility toward the West.

At first glance, the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, known as Pasdaran in Farsi, has been one of the main targets of Western sanctions because it is seen asa major supporter terrorism and runs Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs, which lie at the heart of international economic crackdown that began in 2010.

Any deal that eases those punitive measures would presumably be welcomed by Iranians.

But the IRGC has long espoused unremitting enmity toward the West, the United States in particular.

Any political detente that erodes that doctrine, as espoused by the late Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini who founded the Islamic Republic in 1979, would run counter to the corps' ideological roots -- and its vast institutional interests.

The Pasdaran has led the opposition within Iran to the efforts of President Hassan Rouhani, elected June 14, to defuse the conflict with the West, largely by moderating Iran's contentious nuclear program, which hardliners see as an emblem of Iran's revolutionary might.

But the IRGC has been relatively quiescent, presumably because Rouhani clearly has the blessing of Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, to seek an end to the sanctions that have throttled Iranian oil exports and crippled the republic's economy.

Analysts worry the surprising absence of major displays of opposition suggests the commanders of the Revolutionary guards, founded by Khomeini himself to protect the Islamic purity of the revolution from just such liberal threats as this, are biding their time since most Iranians appear to be behind Rouhani's initiative.

"Since hostility toward the United States is as old as the Islamic Republic itself, many within the regime question whether Iran can be a truly revolutionary state, in line with the vision of its founders, if it normalizes relations with Washington," the U.S. global security consultancy Stratfor observed.

"All the pillars of power in Tehran are struggling with the change in tack, but the IRGC in particular fears that its institutional interests could be sacrificed. ...

"However, the corps realizes that talks are necessary for the future well-being of the regime, and thus does not oppose dialogue outright. Instead, it wants to ensure that its status as a major center of power in the Islamic Republic is not compromised.

"For this reason it has been campaigning to limit the scope of the diplomatic engagement with the United States," Stratfor noted.

"Its efforts have not gone well, given that most of the regime power centers are in favor of pursuing the diplomacy, and that its 34th anniversary of the U.S. Embassy hostage crisis demonstrations drew a crowd of only about 30,000."

The corps won nationwide respect during the 1980-88 war with Iran because of its troops' suicidal courage and human-wave attacks.

But that's been tarnished as it built up a vast commercial empire, with all the corruption and abuse of power that goes with such an undertaking.

Over the last decade alone, the IRGC and its associates have amassed at least $120 billion from so-called privatisations to acquire core national assets, The Financial Times reported.

Indeed, even before Rouhani embarked on his detente diplomacy, he was starting to move against the Pasdaran's business operations that allow it control much of the economy, hogging major energy and construction projects.

"The guards' economic interests have become too big and out of control," a senior government adviser said.

"It's almost impossible to estimate the force's total wealth because of its opacity," analyst Najmeh Bozorgmehr said. "Nevertheless some reckon the guards' companies and banks generate income of about $100 billion a year."

Rouhani was elected despite reported efforts by the guards to block his victory at the polls and that, Bozorgmehr noted, "could prove costly for the corps.

"The new government seems determined to reduce the guards' influence and carve out space for private companies that have been suffocated by its operations ... Rouhani's government has sensed that economic revival will require an attempt to curtail the influence of the guards."

.


Related Links
Learn about nuclear weapons doctrine and defense at SpaceWar.com
Learn about missile defense at SpaceWar.com
All about missiles at SpaceWar.com
Learn about the Superpowers of the 21st Century at SpaceWar.com






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








NUKEWARS
Iran judge condemns American to death for spying
Tehran (AFP) Jan 9, 2012
An Iranian judge sentenced a US-Iranian man to death for spying for the CIA, media reported Monday, exacerbating high tensions in the face of Western sanctions on the Islamic republic's nuclear programme. Amir Mirzai Hekmati, a 28-year-old former Marine born in the United States to an Iranian family, was "sentenced to death for cooperating with a hostile nation, membership of the CIA and try ... read more


NUKEWARS
NASA Spacecraft Begins Collecting Lunar Atmosphere Data

Big Boost for China's Moon Lander

Rediscovered Apollo data gives first measure of how fast Moon dust piles up

NASA's GRAIL Mission Puts a New Face on the Moon

NUKEWARS
Winter Means Less Power for Solar Panels

Unusual greenhouse gases may have raised ancient Martian temperature

How Habitable Is Mars? A New View of the Viking Experiments

Rover Team Working to Diagnose Electrical Issue

NUKEWARS
NASA Advances Effort to Launch Astronauts Again from US Soil to Space Station

Israeli experts launches space studies course for teachers

Success of 'New Space' era hinges on public's interest

NASA Issues 2014 Call for Advanced Technology Concepts

NUKEWARS
China shows off moon rover model before space launch

China providing space training

China launches experimental satellite Shijian-16

China Moon Rover A New Opportunity To Explore Our Nearest Neighbor

NUKEWARS
Russians take Olympic torch on historic spacewalk

Russia launches Sochi Olympic torch into space

Spaceflight Joins with NanoRacks to Deploy Satellites from the ISS

Crew Completes Preparations for Soyuz Move

NUKEWARS
Spaceflight Deploys Planet Labs' Dove 3 Spacecraft from the Dnepr

Arianespace orders ten new Vega launchers from ELV

NASA Commercial Crew Partner SpaceX Achieves Milestone in Safety Review

ASTRA 5B lands in French Guiana for its upcoming Ariane 5 flight

NUKEWARS
NASA Kepler Results Usher in a New Era of Astronomy

Astronomers answer key question: How common are habitable planets?

One in five Sun-like stars may have Earth-like planets

Mystery World Baffles Astronomers

NUKEWARS
Overcoming Brittleness: New Insights into Bulk Metallic Glass

SlipChip Counts Molecules with Chemistry and a Cell Phone

NASA Instrument Determines Hazards of Deep-Space Radiation

$3.3 billion Canadian mining project scrapped




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement